After 1 of the best single seasons we’ve ever seen, it’s official that Aaron Judge is coming back to the Yankees. 

But, what is to be expected from number 99 in these next 9 years?

Let’s look at his projected numbers with the expected inflation of the league over the duration of his contract.

Judging these numbers based on Judge’s career games played per season of 77.2%, he would be on pace for 353 more home runs in his Yankees career, ending his career with 573 jacks.

His projected numbers do expect his batting average to fall below .250 for the next 9 years, but after posting a career-best .311 this last year (24 points higher than his previous best), his contact tool could be a consistency we see when his power begins to falter. 

This contact tool would also help to mitigate his strikeouts, which is the biggest question mark for the final portion of his career. Currently, he is on pace to add over 2,000 strikeouts for the remainder of his career, which would put him in the top-5 list of all-time in punchouts

But these are all just speculations as to the future of Judge’s career, as we’ve never truly seen a player of Judge’s size and abilities play this late into their career. So let’s analyze what he has already done to earn the bag.

After 1 of the best ‘bet-on-yourself’ seasons in any sport, Aaron Judge turned his $213.5 million dollar offer before the season to $360 million dollars, also known as $2.4 million per home run.

And while there is plenty of debate on what Judge’s AL Home Run record represents in baseball history, his MVP campaign deserves appreciation, especially considering the down year league-wide.

For context, what would Judge’s year look like if it were inflated to the juiced ball era of 2015 to 2021?

With 14% inflation in homers, Judge could have seen 71 jacks instead of 62, alongside a 6.7% jump to his OPS.

71 would still have come up short of Bonds’ MLB record, but what if Judge’s numbers were inflated to the Steroid Era instead well?

As mentioned in previous videos, the juiced ball era league-wide is was a much higher collective jump of home runs than the Steroid Era was, for obvious reasons. 

However, Judge would still add roughly 2 homers to his record-setting year, and his OPS would actually jump 7% due mostly to an 11% inflation of walks. 

Regardless of what the rest of baseball was up to, Judge personally couldn’t have picked a better year to perform as he did.