In maybe the longest free agency saga of all time, the football world is preparing for Aaron Rodgers to change his shade of green and join the Jets, which most can agree jumps them into the Super Bowl contender conversation. 

But, what type of season is expected from Rodgers next year? 

Basing his trends over the past 3 seasons, and the expected league average changes for 2023, here are his projected stats if he played a full 17-game season.

With Rodgers benefiting from an anticipated 2% boost in attempts and 4% inflation in adjusted yards per attempt, he could produce his highest yards total since 2011, while improving his touchdown to interception ratio by limiting his picks to just 7 this year. 

Regardless of what type of season Rodgers would have in New York, as soon as the decision becomes final that Green Bay will start someone new under center, the comparisons about the best Packer in team history begin.

And Rodgers hasn’t shied away from the discussion, saying he believes he is the best in franchise history. 

So, what argument does he have after Stat Inflation? Let’s start by comparing him against the other QBs.

With no disrespect to Lynn Dickey, the comparison falls between Rodgers, Brett Favre, and Bart Starr. If these three had their Packer career in the same league average, over the same number of games (227), who would have the best numbers?

While Favre’s counting stats are close to Rogers, with over 49,000 yards to Rogers’ 52,000 and 374 touchdowns to 428, the interception discrepancy is what makes it a non-contest in quarterback rate.

But this is something that has also changed league-wide, as the interception rate has dropped nearly 10%, which may have taught Favre to take fewer chances than he did. 

With Aaron Rodgers having a strong argument for the best career of any quarterback in Packers history after inflation, what is his argument against the other position groups?

For this, we’ll compare him against some of the other franchise leaders in Football Reference’s approximate value, which has LeRoy Butler, Donald Driver, James Lofton, and Reggie White as the other players in the Super Bowl era with approximate values over 90.

So, would any of these non-QBs have a chance next to Rodgers in a balanced era?

Since Reggie White played by far the least amount of games in Green Bay from this group, and yet still produced over 100 approximate value in those 95 games, his per-season value would bring him close to A-Rod if he played the same amount of seasons. 

But, it gives credit to the longevity possible at the quarterback position, which is why it should be the first position considered when discussing a franchise’s most valuable player.